新闻中心/瑞联卓见

The capture of Nicolás Maduro in a US-led operation has seized global attention. Washington has signalled its intention to oversee a transitional phase towards a new governing framework, while hinting at potential involvement by US energy companies in rebuilding Venezuela’s oil infrastructure. Beyond the headlines, what could this mean for the energy, oil and other resources markets, Venezuela’s sovereign debt, and geopolitics more broadly? Our experts delve into the implications.

Despite geopolitical turbulence, equity markets closed 2025 with the third consecutive year of double-digit performances, while gold and fixed income also recorded solid annual returns. Looking ahead, the outlook for 2026 is broadly seen as constructive. However, recent short-term equity rotations reinforce the case for broadening exposures to structural growth themes. This week, investors will focus on US labour market data.

Nadège Lesueur-Pène, Head of Wealth Management Developing Markets & Europe at Union Bancaire Privée (UBP), explains what sets Swiss private banks – and UBP in particular – apart in an increasingly complex and competitive world.

As the year draws to a close, 2025 delivered robust return across all asset classes. We maintain our conviction in US equities and have upgraded emerging market debt from 3/5 to 4/5.

The Federal Reserve cut its key rates by 25 basis points to 3.25 - 3.75% last week, and surprised observers with the resumption of purchases of short-term Treasuries. The Fed also raised its 2026 growth forecasts to 2.3%. However, we maintain our current scenario of several Fed rate cuts in 2026.

On the equities markets, valuation concerns have resurfaced for AI-related companies, even as the Artificial Intelligence (AI) investment outlook remains robust, while risk appetite expends to cyclical equities. Such dynamics underscore the need for diversification and selectivity as we enter 2026.

AI remains the decade’s most disruptive technology, with cloud platforms and semiconductor suppliers poised to benefit most.

Global equities closed the first week of December in positive territory, supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut, while the bond market experienced rate volatility. Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve, which is expected to deliver a 25-bp interest rate cut on Wednesday. A still-supportive backdrop continues to underpin equities, with fiscal stimulus measures, easing monetary policy and structural growth drivers encouraging investors to keep a broader perspective.

The fund will invest in fixed-income strategies; a second fund to be launched next year will invest in a hedge fund of funds.

US labour market data indicates that the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its monetary easing policy, a move that could have implications for bond markets.

China is positioning itself to become a global leader in technological innovation.

Geneva-based bank Union Bancaire Privee has launched its first office in Riyadh, a significant step in its long-term expansion and highlighting the rising evolution of wealth management needs in Saudi Arabia.

The euro investment-grade (IG) credit market has historically delivered an average annual return of +2.8% since 2005. However, the past five years have proven particularly challenging, with returns stagnating at around 0.0%. This period was marked by a sharp 15% drawdown in 2022, driven by the energy crisis and surging inflation.