新闻中心/瑞联卓见

Markets have steadied after the appointment of the Lecornu II administration, yet lingering political and fiscal vulnerabilities persist.

Despite headlines of fiscal risks and political unrest, Colombia, Chile, and Peru are defying expectations with their appreciating currencies, credible policies, and strong economic fundamentals.

The US government shutdown carries on, while the earnings season opened on a constructive note, nudging global equities higher amid softer trade rhetoric, resilient bank results and renewed hopes of Fed easing. These tailwinds, however, contrast with credit-quality concerns linked to regional-bank fraud reports and mounting unease over a potential AI-driven bubble, leaving markets more vulnerable to negative headlines. US inflation data due this week are expected to show moderate upward pressure.

Every year we take ten graduates into our sought-after Graduate Programme in different locations in the Group across Europe and Asia. In September, UBP was pleased to welcome a new cohort of young talents freshly graduated from university, and to congratulate last year’s intake on the completion of their one-year induction cycle and celebrate their assignment to a fixed role.

The rise of artificial intelligence is redrawing the global electricity map

The currency expert at the Swiss private bank Union Bancaire Privée expects the dollar to weaken further, takes a dim view of negative interest rates, and is taking advantage of low market volatility.

Investors have been wary of circular AI investments, stretched equity valuations, the threat of the trade war escalating, and the ripple effects of a prolonged US government shutdown, which itself has further disrupted economic data. This week, Q3 earnings will be in the spotlight, with the US’s largest banks set to lead the reporting season.

Over 2,000 participants joined Switzerland’s largest sustainable finance gathering, which was held in Geneva from 30 September to 2 October. UBP was proud to continue its long-standing support as a silver sponsor of this event.

The US government shutdown, which began on 1 October, has delayed the release of the closely watched non-farm payrolls report. Other economic data published last week were downbeat, reinforcing our expectation that the Federal Reserve will implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts (on 29 October and 10 December) to counter labour market weakness. Meanwhile, negotiations over government spending between the Democrats and Republicans are set to continue in the run-up to the third-quarter earnings season.

Equities are priced to perfection, yet we remain constructive but cautious, while staying upbeat on gold, where we have raised our conviction rating to 5/5.

From the resurgence of Switzerland as a wealth hub, the value of global diversification, and the personal journey that shaped Teresa Lee's leadership philosophy.