结构性产品：对应您的各种投资需要

The Fed’s long-awaited rate cut in September marks the start of a new easing cycle. With the end of the higher-for-longer narrative, investor expectations have shifted, prompting portfolio adjustments and risk premia arbitrage.

Over the summer months, gold rose to new all-time highs at levels of around USD 2,685 per oz. The nearly relentless rise in the gold price reflects several factors.

In mid-August, UBP raised its conviction rating on hedge funds from 3/5 to 4/5, reflecting the belief that alternative investments are well-positioned to navigate the shifting market landscape.

Over the past 15 months, most asset classes have put in positive performances. However, we’ve entered a transitional phase marked by rising volatility, political risks, and market dissonance. To navigate this shifting landscape, we have reduced our global equity exposure and increased our conviction on hedge funds, as alternative investments are well-positioned to capitalise on current market uncertainties.

Earlier in August, global equity markets tumbled due to disappointing US macro data and the unwinding of the Yen carry trade. However, as we expect elevated market volatility until the US Presidential election in November, it may be premature to consider buying the dip.

The attempted assassination of Donald Trump, Joe Biden's withdrawal from the race, and the rise of Kamala Harris: unexpected twists have emerged in the US presidential election.

We recently concluded a series of dynamic mid-year Investment Outlook events in key global cities, all with the theme of “Back to the Future.” 

Equity markets rallied during the first half of the year, driven by earnings growth, a macro backdrop that was more resilient than expected, and continued appetite for AI winners (the “Magnificent 7”). Looking ahead, we anticipate a broadening of equity markets’ leadership. Read more about our insights in the July edition of UBP’s House View.