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Without further pressure from the White House, the Fed is set to cut rates in September. Markets are debating whether the move will be 25 or 50 basis points after weak payroll figures, though we continue to expect only a 25-bp cut given the persistent inflationary pressures. The prospect of lower rates has buoyed equities, while attention this week will turn to US inflation data for evidence of tariff-related effects.

The start of autumn marks a turning point for the Federal Reserve; our rate outlook is shifting accordingly.

While President Trump is pressing for greater influence over the Fed in the pursuit of lower interest rates, US small caps continued to benefit from declining short-term US yields. Attention turned to Nvidia where strong Q2 earnings were eclipsed by underwhelming guidance and geopolitics impacting sales in China, sending the stock lower; even so, global technology equities outperformed. This week, the focus is set to shift to key US macro indicators, namely employment data.

As an impact investing team operating in listed equities, we decided to cut through the noise and examine the facts behind the prevailing negative narratives. Here is a list of the myths and exaggerations that we have decided to bust.

An executive order is opening the door for private assets to access US defined-contribution pension schemes.

With Fed chairman Jerome Powell opening the door to a rate cut in September, last week’s Jackson Hole symposium reinforced our forecast of two reductions this year. Global equities closed on a positive note, buoyed by the policy easing. However, the impact of tariffs must be fully assessed over the coming weeks.

The Middle East stands on the cusp of an unprecedented generational wealth transfer, with an estimated US$1 trillion poised to change hands by 2030.

The latest US inflation data confirm that price pressures are set to trend higher in the coming months. Nevertheless, rate cuts remain on the table given the slowdown in the labour market. As earnings season winds down after a solid set of results, market attention will shift to GDP developments and leading indicators, as well as to the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole meeting on Friday.

ESMA’s recent guidance on fund naming has brought greater clarity and more concrete expectations for funds making sustainability or impact-related claims.

UBP’s Alternative Investment Solutions team reports strong performances and share their strategic insights for Q2 2025, showcasing adaptability in a volatile global market. The quarter was marked by significant geopolitical and economic uncertainties, yet hedge fund strategies delivered solid results, with several standout performers.