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油价通常以原油期货价格的形式报价，布伦特原油和西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）是主要的基准。然而，经济依赖的是柴油、汽油和航空煤油等成品油，而非原油本身，而将原油转化为成品油的成本即为炼油利润，或称“裂解价差”。 将这一价差加到布伦特原油价格上，可以大致反映终端消费者实际支付的价格，据此计算，当前平均价格约为每桶140–180美元。

自美国联邦储备委员会9月加息25个基点以来，金价小幅走低，目前徘徊在每盎司4,150美元左右。

央行理论主张，在供应冲击具有暂时性且通胀尚未持续高于目标水平的前提下，不应直接对此作出反应。 目前，这两个条件均未满足。以个人消费支出（PCE）指数衡量的核心通胀率在8月份达到3.0%，而美伊冲突已持续了六个月以上。

2026年，五大超大规模科技公司（微软、亚马逊、Alphabet、Meta和甲骨文）的资本支出将达到约8200亿美元，而其经营现金流仅为7500亿美元。这意味着它们的投资额超过了可用的现金流，这一资金缺口必须通过举债来填补。

The markets are looking to the future, whilst central banks are looking to the past.

Short-term gold forecasts have been revised downward, reflecting the repricing of Federal Reserve expectations and the rise in short- and long-term interest rates observed in recent weeks.

Events in the Middle East have highlighted a profound shift in market dynamics. The very nature of volatility appears to be changing, requiring management strategies to adapt.

The Swiss franc is once again confirming its status as a major reserve currency, one that is particularly significant at a time when instability in the Middle East is causing major turbulence in global geopolitics. However, the franc’s secular strength has a downside.

The currency expert at the Swiss private bank Union Bancaire Privée expects the dollar to weaken further, takes a dim view of negative interest rates, and is taking advantage of low market volatility.

In September, gold rose to new all-time highs, approaching USD 3,700 per oz. The upward move reflected several factors.

The start of autumn marks a turning point for the Federal Reserve; our rate outlook is shifting accordingly.

Overly defensive positioning has failed to benefit from fluctuations stemming from tariff tensions.