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Investors have been wary of circular AI investments, stretched equity valuations, the threat of the trade war escalating, and the ripple effects of a prolonged US government shutdown, which itself has further disrupted economic data. This week, Q3 earnings will be in the spotlight, with the US’s largest banks set to lead the reporting season.

Over 2,000 participants joined Switzerland’s largest sustainable finance gathering, which was held in Geneva from 30 September to 2 October. UBP was proud to continue its long-standing support as a silver sponsor of this event.

The US government shutdown, which began on 1 October, has delayed the release of the closely watched non-farm payrolls report. Other economic data published last week were downbeat, reinforcing our expectation that the Federal Reserve will implement two 25-basis-point rate cuts (on 29 October and 10 December) to counter labour market weakness. Meanwhile, negotiations over government spending between the Democrats and Republicans are set to continue in the run-up to the third-quarter earnings season.

Equities are priced to perfection, yet we remain constructive but cautious, while staying upbeat on gold, where we have raised our conviction rating to 5/5.

From the resurgence of Switzerland as a wealth hub, the value of global diversification, and the personal journey that shaped Teresa Lee's leadership philosophy.