News

Les stratégies ultradéfensives n’ont pas su tirer parti des fluctuations liées aux tensions tarifaires.

Relief from US tariffs has fuelled renewed optimism, though commercial frictions remain, notably with India and Switzerland. Hope of a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have further buoyed equities. However, with equity valuations increasingly stretched, markets may face bouts of short-term volatility.

The prospect of continued Fed rate cuts will weigh on the US dollar

While the US earnings season has underpinned the equity rally, emerging risks – such as tariffs slowing the economy and fuelling price pressures – warrant investors’ attention. However, these risks remain insufficient to prompt a shift in our portfolio positioning, and we continue to maintain a broad diversification across asset classes.

Swiss equities have delivered strong returns so far in 2025 – up 24% in USD terms – with market dynamics shifting notably between the first and second quarters. In this podcast episode, Eleanor Taylor Jolidon and Maud Giese from UBP’s Swiss & Global Equity teams explore the drivers behind this performance and what investors might expect for the rest of the year.

The United Kingdom, Europe, South Korea, and potentially China in the near future: the list of US-negotiated trade deals continues to grow, yet uncertainty persists with several key partners. At the same time, investor focus is shifting back to economic fundamentals, with softer-than-expected US employment data released on Friday triggering a sell-off. Nonetheless, recent tech earnings results reaffirmed the sector’s enduring dominance.