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Insight 02.05.2018

How emerging markets are dealing with higher US Treasury yields

How emerging markets are dealing with higher US Treasury yields

The recent rise, through 3%, and to the highest level since 2013, has triggered a bit of a sell-off in emerging market assets. We’re thinking that US Treasury yields from here stabilise or they rise only gradually, and this’ll allow emerging market asset prices to go up again.

  • Emerging market growth and global growth are doing very well (The IMF forecast that emerging market growth in this year and next year will be around 4.9%, and global growth will be around 3.9%. )
  • We still have decent yield pick-up over the US (3% in US yields, but 6% on average in emerging market government bonds dollar)
UBP Emerging Markets fixed income
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