Nicolas Roth

Banks are stepping back from risks, leaving private credit at the forefront

An executive order is opening the door for private assets to access US defined-contribution pension schemes.

Looking at 2025, macroeconomic shifts and evolving investment strategies are reshaping the outlook for private markets.

Infrastructure assets provide essential services to communities, facilitating the transport of people, data, and energy.

The Fed’s long-awaited rate cut in September marks the start of a new easing cycle. With the end of the higher-for-longer narrative, investor expectations have shifted, prompting portfolio adjustments and risk premia arbitrage.

Direct lending, the biggest segment in private debt, is now accessible to a broader range of investors and seeing increasing demand, boosted by its superior risk-adjusted returns and attractive features that include speed and certainty of execution.

Our experts explore the origins of private debt—a market with a history spanning over 4,000 years, set to provide the next wave of opportunities for investors.

Rising interest rates have disrupted risk distribution in public and private markets, ushering in a new era distinct from the previous decade of suppressed risks and ample liquidity due to the "Fed put".