Peter Kinsella
Global Head of Forex Strategy
Forex
You want to keep track of currency movements. We have the know-how to help with your forex strategy.
In the global forex market, keeping abreast of technical changes and fundamental movements as well as anticipating potential geopolitical events can be very time-consuming. UBP has the expertise to help you develop and execute a personalised forex strategy and to make it an integral part of your broader asset allocation.
Forex Focus podcast series
Listen to our Forex Focus podcast series to learn or stay informed about the global foreign exchange market. Once a month, our expert Peter Kinsella analyses the latest forex news with influential financial experts. Plug in your headphones and listen!
Foreign exchange is sometimes an overlooked part of portfolio asset allocation, both as a stand-alone, return-focused asset class and as a risk management tool for global investors.
UBP forex specialists use a wide variety of qualitative and quantitative methodologies to analyse the markets, formulate views and come up with investment ideas on G10 currencies, emerging market currencies and precious metals.
Timely analyses and in-depth expertise
The integrated structure of UBP allows us to anticipate and to take advantage of both short-term forex market movements and long-term inflection points in key currency pairs and precious metals.
UBP’s forex specialists have an average of 15 years of experience and a depth of expertise across a range of forex capabilities, including forecasting, hedging, forex and intermediate loans, as well as longer-term trading ideas.
Our trading ideas and market analyses are designed to keep track of market opportunities, and come with a transparent risk/reward analysis, allowing you to manage your portfolio optimally.
Extensive coverage
UBP covers trade and settlement services in over 160 currency pairs in the spot and forward market. We also cover trade and settlement services for both vanilla and exotic products in both G10 and emerging market currencies.
Our forex solutions
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Tactical and strategic trading ideas
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Passive and active hedging strategies
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Forex structuring service
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Gold and precious physical metal strategies
Your contact
08.09.2025
Towards a lower rate era
The start of autumn season marks a turning point for the Federal Reserve. Our rate outlook is shifting accordingly.
08.09.2025
UBP Weekly View - Soft US labour data raise Fed rate cut expectations
Without further pressure from the White House, the Fed is set to cut rates in September. Markets are debating whether the move will be 25 or 50 basis points after weak payroll figures, though we continue to expect only a 25-bp cut given the persistent inflationary pressures. The prospect of lower rates has buoyed equities, while attention this week will turn to US inflation data for evidence of tariff-related effects.
01.09.2025
UBP Weekly View - Nvidia disappoints, yet tech stocks advance
While President Trump is pressing for greater influence over the Fed in the pursuit of lower interest rates, US small caps continued to benefit from declining short-term US yields. Attention turned to Nvidia where strong Q2 earnings were eclipsed by underwhelming guidance and geopolitics impacting sales in China, sending the stock lower; even so, global technology equities outperformed. This week, the focus is set to shift to key US macro indicators, namely employment data.
25.08.2025
The Opening of 401(k)s to Private Assets
An executive order is opening the door for private assets to access US defined-contribution pension schemes.
25.08.2025
UBP Weekly View - Markets rally after Jackson Hole symposium
With Fed chairman Jerome Powell opening the door to a rate cut in September, last week’s Jackson Hole symposium reinforced our forecast of two reductions this year. Global equities closed on a positive note, buoyed by the policy easing. However, the impact of tariffs must be fully assessed over the coming weeks.
18.08.2025
UBP Weekly View - US equities scale new peaks
The latest US inflation data confirm that price pressures are set to trend higher in the coming months. Nevertheless, rate cuts remain on the table given the slowdown in the labour market. As earnings season winds down after a solid set of results, market attention will shift to GDP developments and leading indicators, as well as to the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole meeting on Friday.
13.08.2025
Staying invested remains a strategic lever
Overly defensive positioning has failed to benefit from fluctuations stemming from tariff tensions.
11.08.2025
UBP Weekly View - Rate-cut on the horizon
Relief from US tariffs has fuelled renewed optimism, though commercial frictions remain, notably with India and Switzerland. Hope of a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have further buoyed equities. However, with equity valuations increasingly stretched, markets may face bouts of short-term volatility.
