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Many people are wondering whose economy and financial markets will perform the best in the next 12 months – Europe’s or the US’s. Let’s explore the current and potential performances of both economies to see who is in the lead.
Key Points
The recent economic momentum is definitely in favour of the US economy: business and consumer confidence have both reached news highs in the US, while the same indicators have stayed sluggish and even declined in Europe.
The economic outlook continues to look brighter in the US: growth prospects for next year are around 2.5% in the US after 2.8 to 3% in 2018.
The US is likely to use its economic policy further to maintain the positive momentum, and may boost infrastructure spending and apply new fiscal measures.
For Europe, the projections give a limited budget deficit and point to some moderation in public debt.
Finanz und Wirtschaft (09.09.2023) - Over the summer months, gold has struggled to rise in a meaningful manner. The metal traded in a relatively tight USD 100 range this summer, roughly between USD 1,890 and USD 1,990. Gold price volatility continued to decline, and the latest one-month implied volatility is only 10%, the lowest in years. This shows that markets do not expect any sharp moves in either direction over the coming months.
With obesity on the rise all over the world despite efforts to reverse the trend, impact investors need to join the fray alongside policymakers to reduce the increased mortality and the costs caused by the condition.
China’s economy decelerated in Q2-23, led by a sequential decline in manufacturing and investment. Services continue to expand at a slower pace. Below potential growth is resulting in rising unemployment in April and May.
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