Peter Kinsella
Head of Investment Services UK
Forex
You want to keep track of currency movements. We have the know-how to help with your forex strategy.
In the global forex market, keeping abreast of technical changes and fundamental movements as well as anticipating potential geopolitical events can be very time-consuming. UBP has the expertise to help you develop and execute a personalised forex strategy and to make it an integral part of your broader asset allocation.
Forex Focus podcast series
Listen to our Forex Focus podcast series to learn or stay informed about the global foreign exchange market. Once a month, our expert Peter Kinsella analyses the latest forex news with influential financial experts. Plug in your headphones and listen!
Foreign exchange is sometimes an overlooked part of portfolio asset allocation, both as a stand-alone, return-focused asset class and as a risk management tool for global investors.
UBP forex specialists use a wide variety of qualitative and quantitative methodologies to analyse the markets, formulate views and come up with investment ideas on G10 currencies, emerging market currencies and precious metals.
Timely analyses and in-depth expertise
The integrated structure of UBP allows us to anticipate and to take advantage of both short-term forex market movements and long-term inflection points in key currency pairs and precious metals.
UBP’s forex specialists have an average of 15 years of experience and a depth of expertise across a range of forex capabilities, including forecasting, hedging, forex and intermediate loans, as well as longer-term trading ideas.
Our trading ideas and market analyses are designed to keep track of market opportunities, and come with a transparent risk/reward analysis, allowing you to manage your portfolio optimally.
Extensive coverage
UBP covers trade and settlement services in over 160 currency pairs in the spot and forward market. We also cover trade and settlement services for both vanilla and exotic products in both G10 and emerging market currencies.
Our forex solutions
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Tactical and strategic trading ideas
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Passive and active hedging strategies
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Forex structuring service
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Gold and precious physical metal strategies
Your contact
16.12.2025
UBP House View - December 2025
As the year draws to a close, 2025 delivered robust return across all asset classes. We maintain our conviction in US equities and have upgraded emerging market debt from 3/5 to 4/5.
15.12.2025
UBP Weekly View - Broadening earnings growth
The Federal Reserve cut its key rates by 25 basis points to 3.25 - 3.75% last week, and surprised observers with the resumption of purchases of short-term Treasuries. The Fed also raised its 2026 growth forecasts to 2.3%. However, we maintain our current scenario of several Fed rate cuts in 2026.
On the equities markets, valuation concerns have resurfaced for AI-related companies, even as the Artificial Intelligence (AI) investment outlook remains robust, while risk appetite expends to cyclical equities. Such dynamics underscore the need for diversification and selectivity as we enter 2026.
11.12.2025
Why the AI megatrend is far from peaking
AI remains the decade’s most disruptive technology, with cloud platforms and semiconductor suppliers poised to benefit most.
08.12.2025
UBP Weekly View - Rate volatility
Global equities closed the first week of December in positive territory, supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut, while the bond market experienced rate volatility. Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve, which is expected to deliver a 25-bp interest rate cut on Wednesday. A still-supportive backdrop continues to underpin equities, with fiscal stimulus measures, easing monetary policy and structural growth drivers encouraging investors to keep a broader perspective.
04.12.2025
China’s Unfinished Pivot: The Next Phase of Reforms
China is positioning itself to become a global leader in technological innovation.
01.12.2025
UBP Weekly View - Probability of rate cut rises
The last week of November ended strongly, following a period of market uncertainty. As December gets under way, seasonal patterns point to a firm year-end finish. However, attention is now turning to next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market expectations became markedly more dovish in the final week of November amid growing concerns about the labour market; investors are now pricing in a 25-bp rate cut in December.
27.11.2025
Private debt: a more selective approach
Banks are stepping back from risks, leaving private credit at the forefront
24.11.2025
UBP Weekly View - Multiple factors weight on sentiment
Despite Nvidia’s stronger-than-expected results and upbeat guidance, investor sentiment remained fragile. A mixture of fatigue and doubts about AI, shifting expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December, and a rise in long-term Japanese yields fuelled sharp swings across equity markets. This week, investors will closely monitor the continuing Russia–Ukraine discussions for signs of an end to the conflict.
17.11.2025
UBP Weekly View - A volatile backdrop
Doubts over a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and concerns over the scale and timing of AI-related capex weighed on sentiment, underscoring the fragile market landscape. Now that the US government’s 43-day shutdown has ended, investors are awaiting the delayed September non-farm payrolls report this week. The publication of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s meeting and Nvidia’s earning report, both on Wednesday, will be also closely scrutinised.