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Insight 20.06.2018

Managing political risk in EM

Managing political risk in EM

There are around 80 countries in which we can invest, so we may have to contend with up to 20 elections a year. This does not call for being either cautious or bullish, but for being politically aware and having a process for assessing political risk. In our case this means understanding the economic impact of different outcomes, working out which ones have been priced in, and monitoring opinion polls.


There are three key elections left between now and the end of the year:

  • Turkey on 24 June
  • Mexico on 1 July
  • Brazil sometime in October

All of these are presidential and parliamentary. Watch the video to hear our thoughts on all three.

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