1. Newsroom
  2. What is the ECB’s strategy?
Menu
Analisi 29.01.2018

What is the ECB’s strategy?

What is the ECB’s strategy?

Focus on the ECB’s monetary policy: still accommodative, but for how long?


  • In the eurozone, momentum remains positive and the growth scenario has been regularly revised up. 2.1% is expected for 2018.
  • Inflation is still below target (1.3% y/y vs 2%), recent EUR strengthening has postponed any rebound in inflation.
  • The ECB has already reduced its government bond and credit purchases from EUR 60 bn to EUR 30 bn; these amounts should stay unchanged until September 2018.
  • Several ECB governors have recently changed their minds and adopted a less dovish view on QE and interest rate management.
  • Despite inflation remaining low, the ECB should shift to less dovish communication in Q2 as strong growth continues.
  • The ECB is increasingly likely to end its QE next September.
  • A first rate hike, expected around Q2-2019, will be the first step in its exit strategy.

graph-eurozone.jpg


Newsletter

Sign up to receive UBP’s latest news & investment insights directly in your inbox

Click and enter your email address to subscribe

Expertise

Impact investing, il futuro comincia oggi

L’impact investing ha il compito di impegnarsi per risolvere i più pressanti problemi globali identificando interessanti investimenti a lungo termine.
Continua

Le news più lette

Analisi 15.10.2018

Global Equities: P/E de-rating in progress

Spotlight - The broad-based sell-off in global equities has fully retraced the gains made from February 2018’s lows. Even world beating technology shares have fully given up the 8% gains seen over the summer.

Analisi 08.10.2018

The latest on the oil market

September saw WTI oil prices drop 4% during the first week of the month before rallying almost 12% to reach USD 75 per barrel at the beginning of October. The rally came as investors have been gauging OPEC’s ability to replace falling Iranian exports and declining Venezuelan production.

Analisi 25.09.2018

US-China Trade War

Spotlight - From Checkers To Chess


Altro da leggere

Analisi 23.10.2018

US vs Europe: 3-1

Many people are wondering whose economy and financial markets will perform the best in the next 12 months – Europe’s or the US’s. Let’s explore the current and potential performances of both economies to see who is in the lead.

Analisi 17.10.2018

Impact investing, il futuro comincia oggi

L’impact investing si assume il compito di impegnarsi per risolvere i più pressanti problemi globali identificando interessanti investimenti a lungo termine.

Analisi 17.10.2018

Impact investing, per plasmare il domani

Impact investing può aiutare a plasmare un futuro più sicuro e luminoso.