1. Newsroom
  2. UK elections - Political challenges continue
Menu
Analysen 12.06.2017

UK elections - Political challenges continue

UK elections - Political challenges continue

The disappointing outcome for UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s Conservative Party suggests a fragile political backdrop as the British government enters negotiations about its exit from the European Union.


We expect a weak British pound to shoulder much of the policy burden in cushioning the UK economy from Brexit.

UK fixed-income investors should be cautious, given low real yields and tight corporate spreads. Although sterling-referenced equity investors may benefit from globally-exposed, large-cap UK equities, we continue to prefer continental European equities to their UK counterparts.

Key points 

  • Even in coalition with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), the standing of the Conservative Party in Brexit negotiations will be challenged 
  • We expect sterling to shoulder a disproportionate share of the burden in helping the UK economy adjust to a post-Brexit world 
  • Low real interest rates and tight spreads suggest modest fixed-income returns for UK fixed-income investors 
  • Alhough UK equity investors should benefit from globally oriented, large-cap exposures, we continue to prefer continental European equities to UK corporates

LOK Michael.jpg

Michaël Lok
Group CIO and Co-CEO Asset Management

Norman Villamin-1.jpg

Norman Villamin
CIO Private Banking

GAUTRY_Patrice_UBP_72dpi-9511.jpg

Patrice Gautry 
Chief Economist

Newsletter

Sign up to receive UBP’s latest news & investment insights directly in your inbox

Click and enter your email address to subscribe

Meistgelesene News

Analysen 15.10.2018

Global Equities: P/E de-rating in progress

Spotlight - The broad-based sell-off in global equities has fully retraced the gains made from February 2018’s lows. Even world beating technology shares have fully given up the 8% gains seen over the summer.

Analysen 17.10.2018

Impact investing - Creating the future now

The role of impact investing is to strive to solve the world’s most pressing problems by identifying compelling long-term investments.
Analysen 08.10.2018

The latest on the oil market

September saw WTI oil prices drop 4% during the first week of the month before rallying almost 12% to reach USD 75 per barrel at the beginning of October. The rally came as investors have been gauging OPEC’s ability to replace falling Iranian exports and declining Venezuelan production.


Auch lesenswert

Analysen 18.01.2019

Looking forward from 4Q18 volatility

Spotlight - Investors should expect overall returns to be modest and characterised by recurring bouts of 4Q18-style volatility across markets.

Analysen 09.01.2019

Emerging Market Fixed Income – 2019 Outlook

After a market sell-off in 2018, we believe that emerging market (EM) fixed income should perform better in 2019, thanks to sound fundamentals, reduced political risk and more favourable technicals and valuations.

Analysen 13.12.2018

UBP Ausblick 2019

Uneinheitliche Konjunkturentwicklungen – Chancen und Risiken für Anleger